Bajrangi Bhaijaan Chinese Box Office Prediction: Salman Khan’s Film Set For A Good Start

Bajrangi Bhaijaan Chinese Box-Office Prediction: Bajrangi Bhaijaan is set to release in China tomorrow i.e. 2nd March 2018 and the advance booking of the film is currently in progress in the country. The makers had arranged a couple of preview shows in China last weekend, and the film fetched an extremely positive response from the viewers.

Despite a few drawbacks as mentioned by us earlier, the movie is set to take a good start at the box office in China on its opening day. As things stand currently, approximately 49,000 tickets of the film have been sold in advance and the count is expected to increase to 90,000 – 95,000 by the time the film releases. In terms of US Dollars, the movie has already collected $0.25 Million and the same is expected to surge to $0.45 Million by the end of advance sales.

Bajrangi Bhaijaan Chinese Box-Office Prediction
Bajrangi Bhaijaan Chinese Box-Office Prediction

Releasing on 8,000 plus screens, the distributors have allotted approximately 25,000 shows to Bajrangi Bhaijaan. As compared to this, Dangal was allotted 27,000 shows whereas Secret Superstar show count was as high as 57,000.

Given the response to the advance ticket sales as well as the word of mouth from preview shows, Bajrangi Bhaijaan is expected to take a very good opening of $1.25 – 1.35 Million (Rs 8.20 – 8.80 crores). The opening day footfalls of Bajrangi Bhaijaan as expected to be anywhere in the range of 2,10,000 to 2,25,000. The dynamics of business in China are far different from that in India wherein Saturday and not Sunday is the biggest day for the film business.

Comparing it with other Bollywood release in China, Bajrangi Bhaijaan is expected to go past the lifetime collections of films like Baahubali ($1.17 Million), Fan ($0.23 Million), Happy New Year ($0.40 Million) and My Name Is Khan ($0.07 Million) on its opening day itself whereas the likes of 3 Idiots ($3.02 Million) and Dhoom 3 ($3.23 Million) will be surpassed in its opening weekend. However, a point to be noted here is the fact that the Chinese market was not as lucrative as it is now for Bollywood films at the time when 3 Idiots, Dhoom 3, Happy New Year and My Name Is Khan released. It is PK, followed by Dangal and Secret Superstar that helped Indian films get popularity in China.

While it would be difficult to predict the opening weekend business, our expectations from the film in terms of weekend biz is $6 – $6.25 Million (Rs 39 to 41 crore,) however a higher number cannot be ruled out. In the past, Aamir Khan’s Dangal opened at $2.15 Million and the opening weekend collections were around $12.51 Million as the biz escalated every passing day due to positive word of mouth. If the audience connects with the emotions, the possibility of a trend similar to Dangal (Weekend = 5.81 times of Opening Day) cannot be ruled out. The top Indian opener in China currently is Secret Superstar ($6.5 Million)

Box Office Prediction of Bajrangi Bhaijaan:

Opening Day: $1.25 to $1.35 Million
Opening Day Footfalls: 2,10,000 – 2,25,000
Opening Weekend: $6 – 6.25 Million
Opening Weekend Footfalls: 12,00,000 – 12,50,000

Directed by Kabir Khan, Bajrangi Bhaijaan stars Salman Khan, Kareena Kapoor, Harshaali Malhotra and Nawazuddin Siddiqui in lead. Upon its release in India, the movie collected Rs 320 crore at the Box-Office thereby emerging the second highest grossing film of all time.